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2024-12-14 00:23:26

Market News: It is reported that Iraq's strategic wheat reserve is enough to meet the consumption for more than six months.Ukrainian energy facilities were attacked by large-scale air strikes. Ukrainian President Zelensky said on the 13th that Ukrainian energy facilities were attacked by Russian missiles and drones again that morning. The Russian Defense Ministry announced on the 13th that the Russian army launched a large-scale attack on the energy infrastructure to ensure the operation of the Ukrainian military-industrial complex by using long-range space-based and sea-based high-precision weapons and attack drones, which was a response to Ukraine's attack on the Russian Taganrog military airport on the 11th using the US Army tactical missile system. Zelensky said on social media that 93 missiles were fired by Russian troops and 81 were intercepted by Ukrainian air defense fire. In addition, the Russian army also launched nearly 200 attack drones into Uzbekistan. DTEK, Ukraine's largest private power company, issued a statement on the morning of the 13th, saying that many thermal power plants under the company were seriously damaged by large-scale air strikes, and no casualties have been found. It is reported that this is the 12th round of large-scale air strikes launched by the Russian army against Ukrainian energy facilities this year. (Xinhua News Agency)WTI January crude oil futures closed down 0.27 USD, or 0.38% to 70.02 USD/barrel. Nymex January natural gas futures closed up 2.28% at $3.4550 per million british thermal unit.


Medical staff: Israeli air strikes on houses in Nu Sillat refugee camp in central Gaza killed at least 20 Palestinians.U.S. policy outlook is uncertain. Lagarde lamented that the EU would "ask for it" for political uncertainty. European Central Bank President Lagarde said that the monetary policy decision of policymakers on Thursday was shrouded in the turbulent political situation in Europe. Although Lagarde did not directly mention the collapse of the French and German governments in recent weeks, she pointed out that it is not conducive to the central bank's decision-making to keep the fiscal plan and election results in suspense. At present, policymakers are still paying attention to the impact of Donald Trump's return to power. "We hope that many things will become clear in the coming months," Lagarde told reporters. "If we have discussed anything in the past two days, it is the uncertainty we are facing, whether it is the political situation from some member States or the US policy."BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.


The self-built valuation model of bank wealth managers has met with "standardization": some institutions have re-adopted the strategy of excess return of the bank's tier-2 capital bonds with the valuation system of China Securities and China Securities, and recently, the regulatory authorities issued a document to the bank wealth management subsidiary, demanding that the self-built valuation model should not be used to smooth the net value fluctuation, and the valuation standards provided by third parties such as China Securities and China Securities should be adopted, and self-inspection and rectification should be carried out. The purpose of this move is to prevent the bank's wealth management subsidiaries from adjusting product income through self-built models, and to carry out "fund pool" business in disguise to ensure market fairness. At present, a number of bank wealth management subsidiaries have received this document, and have begun to adjust the net value calculation methods of day-opening and closed wealth management products, and re-adopt third-party valuation for investment products such as bank tier 2 capital bonds. A person from a bank financing subsidiary told reporters that he heard that the financial supervision department held a small-scale meeting last week, asking the bank financing subsidiary to respect the new asset management rules and not to violate accounting standards. In addition, the relevant departments also require the financial subsidiaries of banks that have used the self-built valuation model to carry out rectification, and the financial subsidiaries that have been notified shall submit corresponding rectification plans and measures reports within one month. In the view of the above-mentioned bank wealth managers, it is not excluded that some bank wealth management subsidiaries have lowered the allocation ratio of bank tier-2 capital bonds due to the influence of regulatory policies, because when the self-built valuation model is "standardized", the strategy of over-allocating bank tier-2 capital bonds to obtain excess returns becomes increasingly difficult when the net product value fluctuates relatively smoothly. (per meridian)Market News: Trump's assistant asked Trump if it was possible to abolish the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC).White House: Biden's approval of an aid program to Ukraine will provide more air defense systems, etc. On December 12, local time, John Kirby, strategic communication coordinator of the US White House National Security Council, said at the White House briefing that day that US President Biden approved a new Ukrainian security assistance program on the 12 th, which will provide Ukraine with more air defense systems, artillery, drones and armored vehicles. Kirby said that this is the 72nd such material deployment assistance announced by the United States, and the United States will continue to provide additional aid packages until the end of the current government.

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